Net-zero, reliability, affordability. Pick three — quantitatively.

Utilities are told to decarbonise, maintain reliability, hold affordability, and stay inside the revenue cap. The four constraints fight each other. Simeo by Oxand models them together — at the asset level — so the trade-offs are visible, defensible, and revisable.

Four mandates, one CAPEX envelope.

Net-zero vs reliability trade-off modelling

is the analytical discipline of quantifying the cost, carbon, and reliability impact of every investment decision — simultaneously — so that utilities can make asset-level choices that satisfy regulators, boards, and customers across a fixed CAPEX envelope. Simeo by Oxand brings 1,300+ energy performance models and 10,000+ degradation models to bear on this problem at the asset level, not the portfolio average.

Where the four mandates conflict.

Carbon vs reliability

Retire the gas peaker — what is the SAIDI cost on the worst weather day? Add the battery instead — at what capital cost and what carbon saving? The answer has to be quantified, not estimated.

Carbon vs affordability

The decarbonisation pathway needs investment over the next decade. Customer rates absorb how much? Where does the regulator say no? The model has to show the line.

Reliability vs affordability

Hardening every asset against the worst storm is unaffordable. Hardening none is irresponsible. The optimal line between them is an asset-level calculation, not a policy position.

All four vs the revenue cap

The approved revenue cap is fixed. Trade-offs across all four mandates are zero-sum. Every decision to fund one asset is a decision not to fund another — and both need to be defended.

How Simeo models the trade-offs.

Quantify

Carbon per euro per action — across the full portfolio

Every maintenance and investment action is quantified for kWh saved, GHG reduced, and CAPEX/OPEX cost. Optimise €/tCO₂ across the portfolio. No action is evaluated in isolation — all compete for the same envelope.

Simeo · Carbon
Carbon dashboard — €/tCO₂ by action, ranked across portfolio
Model

Reliability impact at the asset level

Every action's effect on failure probability and service consequence is quantified. SAIDI and availability impact calculated per scenario — not as a portfolio average but traced to the specific asset and the specific investment decision.

Simeo · Reliability
Scenario comparison — reliability impact vs. carbon vs. cost
Defend

Audit-ready multi-pathway comparison

"Aggressive decarbonisation," "Reliability-first," "Balanced" — run side by side. See where each pathway breaks down. Every trade-off decision traceable to its inputs, the model, and the asset. Defensible to regulator, board, and customer advocate.

Simeo · Evidence
Audit trail — decision to asset, traceable end to end

Six modelling capabilities that matter.

Carbon per euro per action

Every action quantified for kWh saved, GHG reduced, and CAPEX/OPEX cost. Optimise for €/tCO₂ across the portfolio — not against high-level targets.

Reliability impact at asset level

Every action's effect on failure probability and service consequence. SAIDI and availability impact quantified per scenario, per asset.

Affordability envelope

Total CAPEX/OPEX trajectory matched against the revenue cap. Customer-rate impact visible for every scenario — before the submission, not after.

Multi-pathway comparison

"Aggressive decarbonisation," "Reliability-first," "Balanced" — run side by side. See where each pathway breaks down at the asset level.

Climate-aware risk weighting

Forward weather exposure layered onto asset condition. The reliability cost of climate volatility — storms, heat, drought, fire — quantified per investment scenario.

Auditable methodology

Every trade-off decision traceable to its inputs. Defendable to regulator, board, and customer advocate without additional preparation.

Four common moments where the trade-offs matter.

Generation retirement decisions

"When does the coal unit go offline?" The answer affects emissions, reliability, customer rates, and capital programmes simultaneously. Simeo models them together — so the decision is defensible on all four dimensions.

Heat-pump and electrification readiness

Distribution capacity, transformer ratings, voltage management — all reshaped by heat-pump and EV adoption. Carbon win on the demand side; CAPEX challenge on the network side. Both quantified.

Hydrogen-readiness for gas networks

Same network, three futures: natural gas only, blend, full hydrogen. Asset-level investment requirement for each. Carbon and cost trade-off explicit and comparable.

Climate adaptation

Hardening against storm, heat, flood, and fire. Reliability win; carbon-and-cost question. Quantified at asset level so the optimal hardening boundary is evidence-based, not arbitrary.

1,300+
Energy performance models
10,000+
Predictive degradation models
Asset-level
Trade-off visibility
Seconds
Constrained scenario re-run

Frequently asked questions

Is Simeo a carbon accounting tool?

No. Simeo integrates with carbon accounting and ESG reporting tools. The difference: Simeo models the carbon impact of investment decisions before you make them — your accounting tool tracks the result after. The two complement each other.

Can we set hard carbon constraints and let the engine solve for the optimal plan?

Yes. Hard constraints are supported — for example "stay under X tCO₂/year by 2030." The engine solves for an asset-level investment plan that fits the carbon budget, the CAPEX cap, and the reliability target simultaneously.

Can we model multiple energy futures side by side?

Yes. Multiple-future modelling is core to the platform. Run "100% renewable by 2035," "50% by 2035 with hydrogen blend," and "business as usual" side by side. Compare asset-level investment requirements for each future.

Does this use case apply outside the utility sector?

Yes. Real estate, social housing, infrastructure, and health buildings all face equivalent carbon-vs-CAPEX trade-offs. The same engine handles them with sector-specific predictive models for each asset family.

How fast can we re-run a scenario when constraints change?

Constrained scenarios run in seconds. A new constraint set — a changed carbon budget, a revised revenue cap, an updated reliability target — produces a new plan in minutes, not weeks.

See the trade-off model on your portfolio.

Bring your decarbonisation targets and reliability obligations. We'll show you what the asset-level trade-offs look like in your planning model.